At least hopefully we will be prepared to some extent.
The excel centre in London is being made into a 4000 bed emergency hospital and Dysons scientific engineers have been working around the clock to product more ventilaters.
Looking at those graphs and figures, we seem to be doing reasonably well compared to some, but I am hearing stories all the time of irresponsible attitudes in this country, especially in London. With the Underground still running fewer trains and travellers still being packed in like sardines, I can imagine that the worst figures for the UK will be in London…
and Khan is still limiting the number of trains running!
They were always being published a day late. I’d guess that the staff collating or entering the information into systems & checking it are reduced at this time.
There was an article about this. They do not have the staff to run a full service safely. They should arrange another way to ensure key health workers get in safely.
A thirteenth death was reported from WA this evening. I think that is 4 deaths within the last 24 hours (three in Victoria)
The medical authorities are hoping to see some change in infection rates by next week after the recent clamp downs otherwise there will be level three lock downs enacted at least in NSW and Victoria (as I understand it).
Hairdressers are pleading with the government to order them shut.
It is quite terrifying how unprepared our hospital systems are for this sort of event.
This graph compares it with a normal flu season
Even worse is the number of beds available per 1000 people.
For the patients who will be hospitalised but won’t need intensive care, Australia has about 3.8 hospital beds for every 1,000 Australians, which is lower than the OECD average of 4.7. Japan and South Korea have more than triple Australia’s number of beds per capita.
The UK, USA and NZ are even worse off (though not by much). Look at the problems in Italy yet they were relatively well off with the number of beds they had available. It is scary.
It is going to be a very different world when this thing is over.
We have known for some time now that hospitals and doctors are going to make some hard choices about who gets those ICU beds. It is quite clear that the oldest and the sickest will not be receiving the care that a young mother, say age 23, will be receiving.
This is not at all unusual. In any mass casualty situation, when a civilian hospital or a military surgical unit is swamped by patients who urgently need emergency treatment, doctors set up a triage . In the triage, doctors are often forced to make brutal, rational decisions about who has the best chances of living and those who have a slim chance of surviving. Thus a patient who has a 50% chance of survival will get treatment but the one who has only a 10% chance will have to wait and probably die.
As I said, brutal, but the triage system is all about saving the most lives possible.
Moreover, even when a triage doctor selects a patient for emergency treatment, that does not guarantee the patient will survive, even with the best possible care. In California, a 2 year old with coronavirus has died. I am certain that the hospital did all they possible could, but still the infant died.
Additionally, doctors will be looking at the age of the patients. If there is one bed remaining in ICU, and the doctor must choose between two patients, one of them a normally healthy 18 yr old, and the other an 87 yr old, it is likely that that 18 yr old will get that bed.
I have had a nice long life. And, I am well passed the “use by date.” If a doctor must choose between me and a young mother, I hope the doctor selects the young mother for treatment.