Coronavirus

Australia has dealt with the pandemic so well…i hope when this is over all governments learn from you how to dealt with things for when the next one comes along…which it surely will.

New Zealand did even better to be honest, the Victoria outbreak was a very low point. The main lesson seems to be that the better you control this pandemic by shutting every thing down and isolating the better and quicker you recover economically - trying to keep the economy open is a mistake in the longer term - just look at the state of the US economy.

The thing is that this is by no means over and could go on for a couple more years depending on the vaccination success and take up. The northern beaches outbreak is making all the state borders shut down to people from Sydney in time for Christmas, some people are discovering they will have to go into compulsory hotel quarantine mid flight

This was an opinion piece on the ABC website comparing the fortunes of NZ and Australia and shows interesting differences:

Some food for thought for how differently the pandemic (and responses to it) can feed through an economy, came from the release on Thursday of the latest economic figures from New Zealand.

Keep in mind the Kiwis have a much higher reliance on tourism and open borders than we do.

Yet GDP in the September quarter, with the borders closed, and even with some restrictions being put back in place in Auckland during the quarter, rose a staggering 14 per cent, after falling 11 per cent in the June quarter.

By comparison, Australia recorded growth of 3.3 per cent in the September quarter, after falling 7 per cent the previous quarter.

New Zealand recorded a fall of 2.2 per cent in its annual average growth, while year on year growth in Australia (a different measure) fell 3.8 per cent.

Covid data for Monday, 21 December 2020

Global Cases: 77,169,391
Increase: 549,246
Global Deaths: 1,699,560
Increase: 7,788

Australia
Cases 28,197 Change: 29
Deaths 908 Change: 0
Critical
Cases per Million 1,100

UK
Cases 2,040,147 Change: 35,928
Deaths 67,401 Change: 326
Critical 1,364
Cases per Million 29,978

USA
Cases 18,267,579 Change: 189,811
Deaths 324,869 Change: 1,468
Critical 27,997
Cases per Million 55,036

Who would travel this Christmas? More cock ups as the borders slam shut for NSW.

Covid data for Tuesday, 22 December 2020

Global Cases: 77,715,069
Increase: 545,678
Global Deaths: 1,708,919
Increase: 9,359

Australia
Cases 28,219 Change: 22
Deaths 908 Change: 0
Critical
Cases per Million 1,101

UK
Cases 2,073,511 Change: 33,364
Deaths 67,616 Change: 215
Critical 1,364
Cases per Million 30,468

USA
Cases 18,473,716 Change: 206,137
Deaths 326,772 Change: 1,903
Critical 28,069
Cases per Million 55,657

Covid data for Wednesday, 23 December 2020

Global Cases: 78,366,297
Increase: 651,228
Global Deaths: 1,724,039
Increase: 15,120

Australia
Cases 28,237 Change: 18
Deaths 908 Change: 0
Critical
Cases per Million 1,101

UK
Cases 2,110,314 Change: 36,803
Deaths 68,307 Change: 691
Critical 1,364
Cases per Million 31,008

USA
Cases 18,684,628 Change: 210,912
Deaths 330,824 Change: 4,052
Critical 28,393
Cases per Million 56,291

UK
Cases 2,110,314 Change: 36,803
Deaths 68,307 Change: 691
Critical 1,364
Cases per Million 31,008

This is very misleading…
Cases per million 31,008
Is based on the 2 million plus, but that is a rolling total from last March!
It suggests that there are 2 million people walking around with covid now. And also suggests that for every million people in the UK that 31,008 people will have covid…Most of those who were reported as having covid on the 2 million list will have long since recovered.

Therefore: there will not be 31,008 people with covid for every million people today. I doubt whether the true figure would even be 1% of that.

If we add together all the new infections for the last 7 days we find 355345
Then if we divide 68 million by 355345 we arrive at 191 people per million.
Even allowing for twice that many people to have been infected and not being diagnosed or tested, we still only have 400 per million.
And after fourteen days there should be no risk of infection, so a new list would be started…
so 31,008 is the 11 month average…But not live cases…

Based on this way of demonstrating the figures, in ten years time the number of people per million would be an astronomical amount…Perhaps even 999,000 per million, but fortunately no longer a risk. Still frightening people all the same.

Just heard on the news that they have altered a lot of the tiers again.
I believe the new changes come into force at midnight on Boxing Day.

My area has gone up from T2 to T3. and loads of places are going to be T4 now.

Same as us Mups, we’re also going up from T2 to T3…

I think they’ve got to Mags, it’s no good people complaining, I don’t think they have a choice.

Mind you, as I’ve said before, they’ll be damned if they do, and damned if they don’t. They can’t win.

Yes Mups, there’s always those who will dispute it. I wouldn’t object to T4 if it meant getting this under control.

I agree. It doesn’t bother me not going out.

Unfortunately, there is no guarantee that it will get Covid under control because it appears that so many people - probably mostly young people - ignore the rules and go out anyway.

You’re overthinking this.

The figure is surely just another way of saying the percentage of the population that have caught the virus to date?

31,008/1,000,000*100 = 3.1%

It is just a far more accurate way of representing it - accurate is not the word I am looking for - the figure quoted allows easier comparisons where populations vary so dramatically ie 300 million US citizens compared with a 60 million UK citizens would make the total cases figures hard to understand at a glance this figure allows a more direct comparison on how he virus is spreading in various communities. If that is not your interest and you only wish to know the total or the changes then it can be ignored.

Most countries publish the number of Active Cases, the UK apparently does not (N/A in that column for the UK in the table I get these statistics from)

In 10 years time, if history is anything to go by, Covid-19 will have replaced Asian flu as the seasonal flu just as Asian Flu replaced Spanish flu and any such comparison will be merely interesting.

Covid data for Thursday, 24 December 2020

Global Cases: 79,051,432
Increase: 685,135
Global Deaths: 1,737,518
Increase: 13,479

Australia
Cases 28,258 Change: 21
Deaths 908 Change: 0
Critical
Cases per Million 1,102

UK
Cases 2,149,551 Change: 39,237
Deaths 69,051 Change: 744
Critical 1,529
Cases per Million 31,584

USA
Cases 18,917,152 Change: 232,524
Deaths 334,218 Change: 3,394
Critical 28,728
Cases per Million 56,991

The first Australian study looking at the long-term impacts COVID-19 has published interim results. It found 40% of the people in the study had persistent symptoms two months after infection. The most common lingering symptoms were fatigue, shortness of breath, coughing and tightness in the chest.

That study was based on low numbers I think it was from the about 80 cases treated at one hospital (a major hospital though). However even if it was a bit on the high side even having, say, 30% of cases suffering from long term symptoms is pretty serious. Certainly not a disease I want to catch

Covid data for Friday, 25 December 2020

Global Cases: 79,729,127
Increase: 677,695
Global Deaths: 1,749,340
Increase: 11,822

Australia
Cases 28,273 Change: 15
Deaths 908 Change: 0
Critical
Cases per Million 1,103

UK
Cases 2,188,587 Change: 39,036
Deaths 69,625 Change: 574
Critical 1,529
Cases per Million 32,158

USA
Cases 19,111,326 Change: 194,174
Deaths 337,066 Change: 2,848
Critical 28,775
Cases per Million 57,575

Covid data for Saturday, 26 December 2020

Global Cases: 80,207,155
Increase: 478,028
Global Deaths: 1,757,640
Increase: 8,300

Australia
Cases 28,292 Change: 19
Deaths 908 Change: 0
Critical
Cases per Million 1,103

UK
Cases 2,221,312 Change: 32,725
Deaths 70,195 Change: 570
Critical 1,529
Cases per Million 32,638

USA
Cases 19,210,166 Change: 98,840
Deaths 338,263 Change: 1,197
Critical 28,652
Cases per Million 57,872

Covid data for Sunday, 27 December 2020

Global Cases: 80,715,880
Increase: 508,725
Global Deaths: 1,764,563
Increase: 6,923

Australia
Cases 28,308 Change: 16
Deaths 908 Change: 0
Critical
Cases per Million 1,104

UK
Cases 2,256,005 Change: 34,693
Deaths 70,405 Change: 210
Critical 1,529
Cases per Million 33,147

USA
Cases 19,433,847 Change: 223,681
Deaths 339,921 Change: 1,658
Critical 28,577
Cases per Million 58,545

Covid data for Monday, 28 December 2020

Global Cases: 81,142,113
Increase: 426,233
Global Deaths: 1,771,884
Increase: 7,321

Australia
Cases 28,333 Change: 25
Deaths 909 Change: 1
Critical
Cases per Million 1,105

UK
Cases 2,288,345 Change: 32,340
Deaths 70,752 Change: 347
Critical 1,529
Cases per Million 33,622

USA
Cases 19,573,847 Change: 140,000
Deaths 341,138 Change: 1,217
Critical 28,672
Cases per Million 58,965

Covid data for Tuesday, 29 December 2020

Global Cases: 81,671,297
Increase: 529,184
Global Deaths: 1,781,505
Increase: 9,621

Australia
Cases 28,348 Change: 15
Deaths 909 Change: 0
Critical
Cases per Million 1,105

UK
Cases 2,329,730 Change: 41,385
Deaths 71,109 Change: 357
Critical 1,529
Cases per Million 34,230

USA
Cases 19,781,624 Change: 207,777
Deaths 343,182 Change: 2,044
Critical 28,912
Cases per Million 59,590

Pommie Backpackers involved in a crowded Christmas gathering at Sydney’s Bronte Beach may have their visas cancelled.

Immigration Minister Alex Hawke said the Government would assess anyone on a temporary visa caught breaching public health orders in the lead-up to New Year’s Day celebrations, including those found to have breached rules last week.

Video of a party of hundreds of revellers held on the Bronte foreshore on Christmas Day was shared widely over the weekend.