Coronavirus: Second wave of Covid-19 coming to UK, says PM

No one has mentioned Birminghan, is that city in the lowest tier then?

Following the announcement of Boris Johnson’s Three Tier lockdown system, Birmingham has been categorised as Tier 2

Last updated on Friday 16 October 2020 at 4:03pm

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Daily New Cases are down but Hospital Admissions are increasing dramatically.

Thanks Omah.

Apparently there is a confirmed case involving a child in the infant school,don’t know the history but one wonders where it came from.

I’ve read of several but they seem to be “solitary” cases … :expressionless:

Hi

Cases can be very localised.

If you look at the maps, which unfortunately the Government are now changing, I am in an area with 50 to 100 new cases over the last week.

Drill down and we have had less than 9 in my locality.

Easy to avoid.

“Recorded cases” are the tip of the iceberg - ONS estimates of “positive cases” are 50% more than the governments figures but then 80% of people infected display no symptoms and may never be tested. ONS estimates suggest that between 1 in 100 and 1 in 200 people have or have had COVID-19. That makes contacts rather hard to avoid.

Hi

I am relaxed about things.

I avoid the shops when they are busy.

I do not go out to the Pubs and the Foodie Pub I go to is one for oldies, who are all careful.

I have a very efficient mask when I do venture out and wear two pairs of gloves.

Covid patients ‘less likely to die than in April’

The proportion of patients admitted to critical care who die fell by almost a quarter from the peak and as much as half in hospitals overall. A better understanding of the disease has allowed doctors to treat patients better, including using the steroid dexamethasone and less invasive types of ventilation.

On average, 39% of patients admitted to critical care died between the start of the pandemic and the end of August and this appears to have fallen to just under 12%.

The Dean of the Faculty of Intensive Care Medicine, Dr Alison Pittard cautioned this was most likely to be a product of the fact that not enough time has passed to work out the outcomes of patients admitted to hospital since the beginning of September. Many will remain in intensive care and until a patient is either discharged or dies, they do not appear in the data.

Though it is too soon to know what mortality will look like in the second wave, we do know that mortality was higher at the beginning of the first wave than it was at the end, she said.

So … good news … sort of … :slight_smile:

Last updated on Saturday 17 October 2020 at 4:10pm

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Patients on ventilation has increased by nearly 50% since last week … :expressionless:

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Tests abysmally low, hospitalisations rising rapidly, cases remaining very high, deaths rising slowly … :frowning:

“Tests abysmally low” ???

Every country could do more but remember; all the testing in the world on its own will not prevent viral infection; only the actions of the public can reduce the spread of infection.

Even countries far more strict than here are seeing huge growth in infection rates - and that’s not excusing the dire figures, it’s a fact.
Global figures continue to rise.

UK Covid testing system has ‘huge problems’, admits Boris Johnson

Wed 16 Sep 2020 18.55 BST

Appearing before the Commons liaison committee, Johnson conceded that there was currently not enough testing capacity.

Asked about delays faced by people seeking a test, or long trips to testing centres, Johnson reiterated his promise to increase daily capacity to 500,000 a day by the end of next month.

That was then and, AFAIK, there is STILL only capacity for 350,000 tests each day in the UK (but only 200,000 a day on average being processed), across all 4 testing pillars including antibody tests and surveillance studies.

The number of recorded cases since then has increased fourfold while the privately-run Lighthouse labs have lost their professional staff and replaced them with unskilled labour, a move which has not only adversely affected efficiency but caused at least one lab (Milton Keynes) to be in breach of several sections of health and safety legislation.

Coronavirus testing lab ‘chaotic and dangerous’, scientist claims

Hi

It matters not what side of the Political Spectrum you are on.

We are not doing well.

Last updated on Sunday 18 October 2020 at 4:00pm

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Total recorded cases approaching 3/4 MILLION … :!:

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Tests still low, hospitalisations rising slowly, cases remaining very high, deaths falling … :frowning:

Last updated on Monday 19 October 2020 at 4:00pm

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Total recorded cases approaching 3/4 MILLION … :!:

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Cases reaching a record high, deaths rising slowly, hospitalisations rising slowly, tests still low … :frowning:

Covid: Wales to go into ‘firebreak’ lockdown from Friday

People will be told to stay at home and pubs, restaurants, hotels and non-essential shops must shut.

Primary schools will reopen after the half-term break, but only Years 7 and 8 in secondary schools can return at that time under new “firebreak” rules.

Gatherings indoors and outdoors with people not in your household will also be banned.

So I’ve heard from my son who lives there… :slight_smile:

We have had six months to react, formula one teams turned their hands to producing ventilators back in March, if in November, the media report a shortage, then, this version of civilisation is shite.

if there is a shortage it won’t be of ventilators but of staff.