A baseless lie,
All I have done is copied up the Public Health England statistics for direct Influenza deaths. It is NOT MY DATA.
If you have an issue with the government ONS data then contact them and take it up with them. Ranting at me for posting the info up simply makes you look like a desperate chump.
As for the links you have posted . . . again . . . nothing has changed. Posting it twice does nothing to change the facts as to what these separate sources of data are and represent.
The BMJ link you posted, as OGF rightly states, is a work of estimates, which they freely concede. The ONS data is a work of actuals, from death certificates etc. I don’t contest that one source offers more accurate results than the other. I simply post up the data.
Here’s the statement from YOUR BMJ link:
“The estimates of case fatality rates in our study have wide ranges, which reflect uncertainty about the proportion of people with symptoms who do not seek medical attention. If this proportion is higher than thought, our case fatality rates might be an overestimate. This proportion might have changed over time as public attitudes to the pandemic have evolved. The approach of using an estimate of total case numbers is subject to greater uncertainty than solely counting laboratory confirmed cases”
I see no issues here at all. The ONS data is pure raw numbers of Flu deaths taken from death reports. The BMJ data is a bunch of more complex estimations. The BMJ data may well have the better view on reality, who knows? That’s not the point though.
None of that is the issue at stake here. An issue which you have still failed to take on board.
The issue is whether or not the flu mortality rates are going up or down. If they are going up then the flu vaccine is not doing its job.
In this respect it matters not one jot whether the ONS data for the single year of 2009 is more or less accurate than the BMJ data for 2009. That’s a nice red herring you’ve thrown into the pot.
The issue is whether the TREND, year on year is up or down.
Why haven’t you grabbed your BMJ figures for every year from 2009 to 2017 to assess the trend based on that data?
That would seem to be the required action on your part if you are attempting to prove that mortality rates are not going up surely?
No sorry you are incorrect. They are apples and bananas. One set of data is actual deaths caused by flu taken from death certificates/reports. The other is a set of estimates which aim to provide a more accurate picture. Apples, bananas.
Now off you go and seek out the full BMJ data for 2009 to 2017 and then come back and show us the trend.