Covid: One in 20 secondary-age children infected in England

Children’s risk from the virus is very low, and serious illness is rare.

A single vaccine dose is now being offered to all 12 to 17-year-olds in schools across the UK. That followed a decision by the UK’s four chief medical officers that a Covid vaccine for this age group would help keep children in school and benefit the poorest families.

Previously, only teenagers with health conditions which put them at increased risk of being seriously ill with Covid were offered two doses, as well as children living in the same house as people who are very vulnerable to the virus. The ONS data covers the week up to 25 September, and estimates a steep rise in infections in children aged 11-15 over the last few weeks, with nearly 5% now testing positive - up from 2.8% the week before.

Infections in younger primary-age children have been increasing, but much less sharply, with 2.6% testing positive.

Record high infections in secondary school age children|2048x1440.3600900225056

Infections in young adults have now decreased to around 1% affected, and in older adult groups infection levels remain even lower.

Prof Kevin McConway, emeritus professor of applied statistics, at The Open University, said the infection rates in 11 to 15-year-olds were “extraordinarily high”, adding that the fall in infections in young adults, who have now been vaccinated in large numbers, was “pleasing”.

Around 1.2% of the UK population - or one in 80 people - is likely to be infected, the ONS says, which is little changed from the previous week.

No real surprise in “back-to-school” infections but the current rate of one in 80 people infected (UK) takes us back to 18th December 2020 with 2 massive surges, with spikes in January (81,000 per day) and July (60,000 per day) thereafter.

However, back in January, deaths peaked at an appalling 1,200 per day and since then the number has been successfully reduced to a nonetheless distressing 150 a day.

With winter on the way, numbers of recorded cases of just one type of respiratory virus running at nearly 40,000 a day do not portend well for the coming months.

Although serious illness is rare in children, is there any information on long covid for children of this age? Long covid can manifest even in people who don’t get seriously ill.

Added later. Here’s a study I found on google. This is a study out of the UK.

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AFAIK, this is the latest official report but the latest ONS figures make it obsolete.

Another report:

and then there’s your own link.

The answer would seem to be … no one knows (for certain) … :102:

It will be months, maybe even years, before accurate analysis is available.

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Yep. By then, there might be a generation of people who are suffering long term consequences of the illness for some portion of their lives. As people have said before though, long term effects of illness is not specific to covid. But the numbers for covid are not insignificant.

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Indeed:

The research looked at survey data from the Imperial College London-led REACT-2 study, collected from random samples of the population between September and February. Nearly 27,000 (around 6%) reported experiencing at least one of 29 symptoms linked with COVID-19 for 12 weeks or more.

These figures are based on reports from the people (almost one in five) who reported having had COVID-19, either suspected or confirmed by PCR test, one-third of whom reported persistent symptoms at 12 weeks. This could mean that more than two million people in England may have been affected by these persistent symptoms after COVID-19.

Professor Paul Elliott, director of the REACT programme from Imperial’s School of Public Health, said:

“Our findings do paint a concerning picture of the longer-term health consequences of COVID-19, which need to be accounted for in policy and planning. Long COVID is still poorly understood but we hope through our research that we can contribute to better identification and management of this condition, which our data and others’ suggest may ultimately affect millions of people in the UK alone.”

:open_mouth:

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