COVID-19 - UK: ONS Reports - 31 January 2023 - 1m Positive

Who’s “we” … :017:

If you don’t like the use of the word “we” then substitute it with “one”.

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So, “one” will be you, then … :wink:

Ha, ha, Omah. Very droll. You know full well what I mean by the use of “we” and “one” in a sentence like that so, stop with the stirring.

Cases

People tested positive

Latest data provided on 10 January 2022

Daily

142,224

Last 7 days

1,201,563

Out of Control … :skull_and_crossbones: :skull_and_crossbones: :skull_and_crossbones: :skull_and_crossbones: :skull_and_crossbones:

Interesting … :wink:

5 data points of declining cases per day have already happened, according to this article.

Today, the case rate stalled but deaths are down.

There’s also reports of declining case rates in two-thirds of London.

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Another assessment of falling case numbers in England with a couple caveats.

The number of people on mechanical ventilators are dropping to the lowest level since Octorber.

A professor says that case numbers seem to be slowing nationwide with some caveats about lagging numbers from the holidays and tempering expectations based on the past surprises.

Meanwhile, Pfizer announce the Omicron vaccine will be ready in March.

So, what exactly are people getting injected with now, given that Omicron is the dominant strain ?

11 January 2022
Because of a delay in receiving deaths data for England, today’s update is delayed. The current estimate for release is 4:30pm. Further updates will be provided here.

Cases

People tested positive

Latest data provided on 11 January 2022

Daily

120,821

Last 7 days

1,103,660

Out of Control … :skull_and_crossbones: :skull_and_crossbones: :skull_and_crossbones: :skull_and_crossbones: :skull_and_crossbones:

Call me Mr. Suspicious but a huge drop in daily cases has coincided with the withdrawal of the requirement for positive LFTs to be reported and confirmed by PCR … :104:

Still, for those members looking for the “5 data points all heading in the same general direction defining as a trend”, now’s your chance to display your graph-making skills … :chart_with_downwards_trend:

Here’s a simple one I created on the internet:

At this rate, I’ll be able to return to :scream: by Thursday … :astonished:

According to this article, tests are up by 18.1% and cases are down by 13.1% on January 10 as vs. the previous 7 days.

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Nick Triggle

Covid cases in the UK are on the way down - at least according to the daily figures released by the government.

The number of cases confirmed over the past seven days is 13% down on the previous week.

But does this really mean the Omicron wave has peaked?

These are, after all, only the people who come forward for testing.

As infections have risen to record levels there have been reports of people struggling to get access to tests.

The figures also exclude - apart from in Wales - those who are re-infected, something that has become increasingly common with the rise of the Omicron variant.

And a regular survey, that aims to calculate levels of Covid in the population at large, appears to show the testing programme is picking up a smaller proportion of cases than it once did.

It means there needs to be a degree of caution when it comes to interpreting what is happening.

Instead, the biggest clue Omicron may be peaking, and arguably a more important measure of Covid, is how many cases are ending up in hospital. From this data we can see the number of admissions appears to have plateaued at just above 2,200 a day in the UK, about half last winter’s peak.

When Omicron took off there were warnings hospital admissions could end up more than three times as high as they are now. There may still be a long way to go, but it’s looking promising compared with what we were told could have happened.

BIB Indeed … over 100,000 people are still reporting infections every day (equal to 3,000,000 a month), 20,000 people are currently in hospital with COVID and up to 6,000 people may have gone to early graves by the end of the month as a result of COVID infection.

I don’t think the fat lady will find that much to sing about … :worried:

Reminder:

31 May 2021

There are signs the UK is in the early stages of a third wave of coronavirus infections, a scientist advising the government has said.

Prof Ravi Gupta, from the University of Cambridge, said although new cases were “relatively low” the Indian variant had fuelled “exponential growth”.

He said ending Covid restrictions in England on 21 June should be postponed.

Environment Secretary George Eustice said the government could not rule out a delay to the planned lockdown easing.

But business leaders have warned of the harmful impact of any change to the proposed dates.

On Monday, the UK reported more than 3,000 new Covid infections for a sixth day in a row.

Prior to this, the UK had not surpassed that number since 12 April.

No deaths within 28 days of a positive test were reported in England, Wales or Northern Ireland - but one death was reported in Scotland.

Those were the days … :expressionless:

A slight rise after the 2,000 a day lows of April and not long before the appalling 60,000 a day of July. After that, cases never slipped below a dreadful 40,000 a day until December when a sudden increase to 80,000 reported new cases a day eventually took us into mind-boggling 200,000 a day territory … :scream:

Some nice graphs in that article.

Case rates dropping.

Hospital admissions dropping.

Case rates in both under 60 and over 60 both dropping.

That’s the thing about global pandemics. There’s not much to sing about.

And no one can predict the future with 100% accuracy.

Cases

People tested positive

Latest data provided on 12 January 2022

Daily

129,587

Last 7 days

1,038,500

Out of Control … :skull_and_crossbones: :skull_and_crossbones: :skull_and_crossbones: :skull_and_crossbones: :skull_and_crossbones:

seems things are getting better

One professor predicting a sharp decline in cases in the UK, then the US, although there’s still some hesitation, especially since the declines vary by region and the misery is far from over.

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London’s public health chief says that omicron has passed the peak. Also says that vaccines and boosters are still important at this time.

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The backpedaling continues …

… and I feel 100% vindicated in relaying what the S African health people said last month about Omicron being much tamer than Delta.

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