The latest stats show the numbers of cases, deaths and hospitalisations all going UP … BJ is playing a dangerous game … 
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But they will go up won’t they … Omicron is considerably more contagious than Alpha and Delta.
I do agree though that he’s going out on a limb compared to Sturgeon and other European countries in saying we can ‘ride it’.
Not only is Omicron more contagious, but, because of the weight of numbers infected, deaths from COVID are now over 300 a day (9,000 a month) and hospitalisations are over 2,000 a day (60,000 a month):
A record 3,700,000 people in the UK had Covid in the week to New Year’s Eve - an extra 1,000,000 more than the week before - according to estimates from the Office for National Statistics.
This equates to one in 15 people in England, one in 20 people in Scotland and Wales, and one in 25 in Northern Ireland.
The estimate was highest for London, where one in 10 people were believed to have Covid - although the ONS said there were some “early signs” cases were no longer increasing in the capital.
I doubt that all 3,700,000 were isolating or even taking precautions … 
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Cases
People tested positive
Latest data provided on 6 January 2022
Daily
179,756
Last 7 days
1,272,131
Out of Control … 
The number is down but is that because there’s shortage of testing mechanisms/facilities or because “victims” of the ‘milder’ variant aren’t registering … 
[quote=“Omah, post:445, topic:80226, full:true”]
Cases
People tested positive
Latest data provided on 7 January 2022
Daily
178,250
Last 7 days
1,260,535
Out of Control …
Little change from yesterday but best not to be presumptuous … 
Wonder how many people who have the virus have NOT been tested?
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This is an old report but it gives us a clue:
Cases
People tested positive
Latest data provided on 8 January 2022
Daily
146,390
Last 7 days
1,227,288
Out of Control …
A substantial change from yesterday but best not to be presumptuous …
Cases appear to be coming down but deaths are going up:
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what’s with all the skull & bones? The death rate isn’t high relative to the number of infections. On this day a year ago it was 1325
Cases
People tested positive
Latest data provided on 9 January 2022
Daily
141,472
Last 7 days
1,217,097
Out of Control …
Little change from yesterday but best not to be presumptuous …
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The figures are going down.
They keep going down.
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More people die of heart problems, cancer and mental health issues than covid.
It’s over.
The numbers have been going down for 3 reports in a row. When is it gong to be not presumptuous to make an assessment? Assessments were made for every report of increasing cases even though no one has a crystal ball of the future.
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On 2 January, I posted:
Latest data provided on 2 January 2022
Daily
137,583
and commented
This is, of course, only a temporary drop in numbers.
and received a reply containing
The best anyone can say, IMHO, is that the numbers APPEAR to be plateauing (taking into account the data from 30/12 and 31/12).
IMHO, the “appearance” of a plateau was illusory and I said so:
The numbers don’t appear to be plateauing to me.
subsequently, the number of cases soared:
Latest data provided on 4 January 2022
Daily
218,724
Those figures were, of course, obtained during a holiday period, when not all UK countries returned results.
Since the latest figures are from a weekend, when returns are, also, sometimes delayed, I have found it best not to make an “assessment” based on such figures.
So, IMO, today and tomorrow should provide more accurate numbers.
Should be interesting.
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Tomorrow, the government is changing the mechanism of reporting of positive case results:
The government has announced that asymptomatic people who test positive for Covid-19 on a lateral flow device (LFD) test will no longer need to have a confirmatory PCR test.
It said that this is a “temporary measure” while rates of Covid-19 are high across the UK, and added that while rates remain high “the vast majority of people with positive LFD results can be confident that they have Covid-19”.
This policy comes into force on 11 January in England. There are a few exceptions to the new rule, including people who need to access the £500 Test and Trace Support Payment. Similar policies have been introduced in Scotland and Wales (from 6 January) and Northern Ireland (from 5 January).
This has prompted a number of public figures on Twitter to ask whether people who test positive on lateral flow tests only will be included in the total reported Covid-19 case numbers announced daily.
The UK government Covid-19 dashboard contains information on how positive cases of Covid-19 are currently counted across the UK nations.
In summary, the information on this dashboard does feature cases identified by reported lateral flow tests for England and Northern Ireland. However, this relies on individuals reporting a positive lateral flow result online or via phone after taking the test, which they may not do.
The headline case numbers for Wales and Scotland do not currently include reported positive lateral flow test results, although data on this is available elsewhere.
This means the headline UK daily cases figure reported on the government’s Covid-19 dashboard is likely to miss some positive test results.
So, a drop in recent reported case numbers may be due to people pre-empting the “rule” change. The drop maybe further inflated by the policy implementation.
In the future, this will meant that the ONS Survey’s figures will be providing a more accurate estimate of COVID-postive numbers.
Er… no.
When cases go down you shouldn’t try to conjure them up.
If you want to see how Labour would be handling this go to Wales.
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5 data points all heading in the same general direction is usually defined as a trend, Butterscotch so, 2 more days of reducing figures and we can say with a fair degree of certainty that the peak has been reached.
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