Do we have any evidence that Cheltenham Races were followed by a spike in infections Omah?
And will there be an increase after Royal Ascot I wonder?
Huge spike in coronavirus hospital admissions after Cheltenham Festival
Thursday 23 Apr 2020 7:06 pm
Leaked data has revealed a high concentration of coronavirus hospitalisations in area next to Cheltenham Racecourse.
The map seen by GloucestershireLive shows there were 27 confirmed admissions in the GL52 postcode since April 3. The town has become known as a Covid-19 hotspot since the pandemic broke out.
It comes after organisers of the Cheltenham Festival defended the decision to go ahead with the event attended by 250,000 people between March 10 and March 13, finishing three days before the Government announced social distancing measures. The day before the started the Department of Culture, Media and Sport said there was ‘no rationale’ to postponing events.
The leaked OS data map shows GL52 had the highest number of Covid-19 hospital admissions in Gloucestershire, followed by GL51, which houses Cheltenham Spa Railway Station. According to Government data there have been 972 cases of coronavirus in Gloucesteshire and 147 deaths.
AFAIK, the event was organised by the Jockey Club, whose members include Dido Harding, who, coincidentally, is on the board of Cheltenham Racecourse … 
Wow! Perhaps not such a good idea to have so many people huddled together at Silverstone…
And even worse when you think the amount of places the crowd will return to after the race. Expect small pockets of infections to spring up everywhere…I hope I’m wrong.
Utterly bananas it really is. 
It will be a good experiment to see what happens, the government will be watching closely I would imagine to determine how to proceed. It’s a risky business though and you won’t find me attending any of these big outdoor gatherings…
Covid infections increase in England and Scotland - ONS
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-57607679
Estimates from the Office for National Statistics suggest about 153,000 people in the UK would test positive for coronavirus in the week to 19 June, up from 119,000 people the previous week.
This is one in 420 people.
As they did last week, the ONS says the percentage of people testing positive has “increased” in England and Scotland, whereas the “trend is uncertain” in Wales and Northern Ireland.
[LIST=1]
[]A total of 111,157 confirmed and probable cases of the Covid-19 Delta variant have now been identified in the UK, Public Health England says
[]Delta cases have risen 46% in a week across the UK and there have been 514 more admissions to hospital with the variant
[/LIST]
Thank you
A further 15,810 confirmed cases in the UK were announced by the government on Thursday.
That’s 90,511 in the last 7 days … :!:
25 June
Potential under-reporting of cases in Scotland
Public Health Scotland (PHS) are investigating a potential delay in laboratory processing of specimens in Lighthouse laboratories. This resulted in case numbers reported on 25 June being lower than would have been expected. Based on historical reporting patterns, PHS estimate 800-1,110 cases may have been delayed in being reported.
And the number of people who have actually died, or are the numbers so small they don’t matter?
No substantial outbreaks at UK Covid test events
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-57607679
The first phase of the Government’s Events Research Programme saw 28 cases of Covid-19 recorded from nine events. The events have been held to explore the impact of large-scale events on Covid-19 transmission.
Eight positive Covid-19 cases were recorded among the 30,000 people who attended the FA Cup semi-final, the FA Cup final and the Carabao Cup final.
A further six were recorded among more than 10,000 spectators who attended the 17 days of the World Snooker Championship, the report on the first phase of the ERP says.
In total 58,000 people attended sporting and cultural events in the first phase of the ERP in April and May, with 28 positive Covid-19 cases.
The report said 11 of these individuals were “potentially infectious at an event”, with a further 17 potentially infected at or around the time of the event.
But the ERP report states there was low uptake of PCR testing before and after events, which meant it was “challenging to determine” whether direct transmission of coronavirus had occurred at the events.
Rules on wearing face coverings were better observed at indoor events, the report found, with 98.3% in sample areas compared to 92.1% at outdoor events, or events with a substantial outdoor element.
The report found that, with the exception of the event at the Circus nightclub in Liverpool, a person attending an ERP event experienced a lower level of cumulative exposure than attending a well-ventilated multi-person office for six hours.
It found each venue had specific high-risk areas unique to it. For instance, the area of greatest crowd density at Wembley was identified as the toilets - 2.41 people per square metre.
So, if attending events, stay masked and hold your water … and you’ll probably be safe … 
A further 18,270 confirmed cases in the UK were announced by the government on Saturday … :shock:
That’s 98,460 in the last 7 days … :!:
If vaccinations are proliferating and cases from events are negligible why are daily cases climbing to a height last seen on February 2nd … :?:
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/downloads/homepage/2021-06-26/thumbnail_newCasesByPublishDate.svg
Because it was mainly lockdown that had reduced the infection rate Omah, and now that it has partially been lifted and people are mixing again the figures will naturally rise. Nobody said that the vaccines would halt the spread. If they did, they were wrong. Lets hope that the vaccines will prevent so many hospital admission and deaths, the best we could expect in my opinion, fingers crossed…
Her’s one that said just that (BIB):
There is good reason to hope the vaccines will be enough to to stop infections rising in the coming months pretty much on their own, says Dr Adam Kucharski, an expert in infectious diseases, at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.
“It is possible we will get to a situation where [infection rates won’t rise] without the need for many other measures,” he says. “The vaccines are working that well that domestically we can gradually relax restrictions and enjoy the summer.”
Here’s another that was “optimistic”:
One dose of COVID-19 vaccine can cut household transmission by up to half
People are mixing in large numbers and not becoming infected, according to the ERP.
The infections map indicates that the largest increases are centred in the North-West and Central Scotland:
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map
Elsewhere, increases are less dramatic.
Given the current 7-day daily average of 14,000, there may be 100,000 cases in the next week alone and 400,000 in the next month - those are massive figures to be driven just by a “partial lifting of lockdown”.
On the other hand, deaths from COVID-19 are rare and hospitalisations, although rising, are within “acceptable” limits.
Seemingly, it is Delta variant transmission that is the cause of this huge surge so is it “out of control” … :?:
Is it lifestyle, ethnicity, religion or another variable which is encouraging transmission … :?:
A further 14,876* confirmed cases in the UK were announced by the government on Sunday … :shock:
That’s 104,052 in the last 7 days … :!:
- However, the government said a technical issue meant this figure was lower than expected and the cases missing from Sunday’s number would be included in Monday’s total.
I just found this on Facebook.
I think it puts Covid into perspective.
Imagine that:
You were born in the year 1900
You are 14 years old when World War I begins and 18 years when it ends.
Result: 22 million dead
Soon after, a global pandemic, the Spanish flu, will emerge. 50 million people die.
Fortunately, you are still alive and are now 20 years old.
When you are 29 years old, you will survive the global economic crisis that started with the breakdown of New York’s stock exchange.
This led to inflation, unemployment and famine worldwide.
Meanwhile, since you are 33 years old, the Nazis will come to power in Germany.
Since you are 39 years old, Germany invades Poland, and begins World War II.
You are finally 45 years old when World War II ends.
Result: 60 million dead. 6 million Jews die in the Holocaust.
Luckily you’re still alive…
Since you are 52 years old, the Korean War begins.
Since you are 64 years old, Americans started the war in Vietnam.
You are 75 when the war ended
Luckily you’re still alive…
Now…
A boy born in 1980 believes his grandparents have no idea how difficult life is. But they survived several wars and disasters, not to mention the restrictions during the first oil crisis in the early 1980 s.
Today we live in a new world full of comfort, but unfortunately in the midst of a new pandemic.
People complain about staying home for weeks.
While they have power, cellphones, food, hot water and a safe roof over their heads.
None of that existed in previous times.
But humanity survived these circumstances and they never lost their joy of life.
Today we complain because we have to wear face masks to enter the supermarkets.
A small change in our mind and mentality can work miracles.
We want to thank you and me who are still alive if we want to do everything necessary to protect and help each other.
How true JB 
So does this:
Boris Johnson’s cavalier approach to border control has led to 4,732,434 recorded cases of COVID-19 - that’s THREE TIMES the population of Kent.
Boris Johnson’s disastrous reaction to the COVID pandemic had led to the deaths of of THREE TIMES more UK citizens (128,100) than were killed by the Luftwaffe during the Blitz of WWII (43,000).
I agreed with a comment made by Ulrika Jonsson in the paper about how some people can ‘bend the rules’ regarding Covid restrictions.
She said - " It must feel so reassuring to people who have been unable to attend funerals, and couples who have cancelled, reinstated, then re-cancelled their weddings, and those who have had to abort trips abroad to see relations or get a holiday, and to those who have been unable to see loved ones this past year and a half . . . that “football is a special case.”
"VIP’s flying into the UK for the Euros final on Sunday July 11th, are set to be excused from the quarantine requirements other travellers face.
"And how on earth it was ever thought a great idea to host this tournament in 11 cities across Europe during a pandemic, I shall never know. Answers on a postcard please.
"But it’s the insulting lack of parity and equity in the treatment of all of us supposedly “in it together” that drives people to distraction and, presumably, the breaking of rules.
“I have said from the start, it does not feel as if we are all in it together - and if ever proof were needed, this is it.”