COVID-19 - UK: ONS Reports - Covid infections DOWN to 1 in 25 in England

This format of this starter post is not intended to be a daily occurrence - simple updates, with appropriate comments, should henceforth suffice.

This information comes from the UK Government.

This document explains the key statistics presented on the UK Coronavirus (COVID-19) Dashboard. It was last updated on Sunday, 08 August 2021.

Testing

There were 825,501 tests reported on 5 August 2021. This shows a decrease of -9.2% compared to the previous 7 days.

Between 30 July 2021 and 5 August 2021, there have been 5,301,919 tests.

Cases

27,429 new people had a confirmed positive test result reported on 8 August 2021.

Between 2 August 2021 and 8 August 2021, 191,019 people had a confirmed positive test result. This shows an increase of 1.9% compared to the previous 7 days.

Vaccinations

47,036,796 people had been given a first dose by the end of 7 August 2021.

39,429,468 people had been given a second dose by the end of 7 August 2021.

Healthcare

742 people with coronavirus went into hospital on 3 August 2021.

Between 28 July 2021 and 3 August 2021, 5,328 went into hospital with coronavirus. This shows a decrease of -15.9% compared to the previous 7 days.

There were 5,631 patients in hospital with coronavirus on 5 August 2021.

There were 871 coronavirus patients in hospital beds with a mechanical ventilator on 5 August 2021.

Deaths

There were 39 deaths within 28 days of a positive test for coronavirus reported on 8 August 2021.

Between 2 August 2021 and 8 August 2021, there have been 601 deaths within 28 days of a positive coronavirus test. This shows an increase of 14.5% compared to the previous 7 days.

Currently, although case numbers are high, compared with 2,000 a day in May, the progress of the pandemic appears to be waning.

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August 9, 2021 3:10 PM

Daily number of people tested positive reported on 9 August 2021 25,161

Total number of people tested positive reported in the last 7 days (3 August 2021 – 9 August 2021) 4,228

It does seem that the current rate of “positives” is hovering around the 25k mark but as promising as that sounds, that still adds up to 750,000 confirmed new cases per month … :worried:

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Number of people tested positive reported on 10 August 2021

Daily 23,510

Last 7 days 196,047

A slight fall.

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Number of people tested positive reported on 11 August 2021

Daily 29,612

Last 7 days 196,347

A significant rise.

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Number of people tested positive reported on 12 August 2021

Daily 33,074

Last 7 days 199,206

A significant rise.

Hospitalisations are remaining high:

Patients admitted - Latest daily 737 reported on Sunday, 8 August 2021.

Patients in hospital - Latest available 5,909 reported on Wednesday, 11 August 2021.

Patients on ventilation - Latest available 871

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Around one in 75 people in private households in England had Covid last week, according to the latest estimates from the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

The figure, for the week to 6 August, is unchanged on the previous week.

The data is based on swab tests of a random group of people in the community.

That’s good news, then … but still means that 888,667 people are currently infected …:mask:

If we have reached a “plateau” of infections then somewhere between 750,000 and 900,000 new infections a month can be expected in the short term.

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It is when we were told by some fearmongers before restrictions eased that they would skyrocket.

Number of people tested positive reported on 13 August 2021

Daily 32,700

Last 7 days 200,098

Remaining very high.

Very high you say?
It isn’t anywhere near the 100,000 per day that the prophets of doom foretold and the ONS reckon the average trend is decreasing too as was posted earlier.

Number of people tested positive reported on 14 August 2021

Daily 29,520

Last 7 days 201,006

Slight drop but remaining very high.

Number of people tested positive reported on 15 August 2021

Daily 26,750

Last 7 days 200,327

Slight drop but remaining very high.

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People in England and Northern Ireland who have had two Covid vaccine doses will no longer have to isolate if they come into contact with someone who has tested positive for the virus.

Instead of having to quarantine for 10 days, they are now advised to take a PCR test - but this is not compulsory.

They are also advised to wear a face covering in enclosed spaces and to limit contact with others, especially the clinically vulnerable.

The guidance applies to under-18s too.

The changes to self-isolation rules have already been implemented in Scotland and Wales.

The relaxed rules in England and Northern Ireland are expected to significantly reduce the number of people being compelled to stay at home.

Health Secretary Sajid Javid said Monday’s changes to self-isolation guidance were part of a cautious “step back towards normality”, thanks to the vaccine rollout.

“Vaccines are what will bring this pandemic to an end, with over 84,000 lives already saved and 23 million infections prevented,” he added.

As long as those “contacts” take precautionary measures when notified, this is, IMO, probably a good idea.

BIB I wonder how Sajid’s advisors arrive at those seemingly impressive figures … :017:

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Number of people tested positive reported on 16 August 2021

Daily 28,438

Last 7 days 203,604

Slight rise and remaining very high.

If the daily average stays on the same current plateau then there will have been 900,000 new reported
cases by the end of August … :frowning_face:

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Number of people tested positive reported on 17 August 2021

Daily 26,852

Last 7 days 206,946

Slight fall but remaining very high.

Deaths are still having an impact:

Deaths within 28 days of positive test

Latest data provided on 17 August 2021

Daily 170 Last 7 days 648

Hospitalisations are remaining high:

Patients admitted

Latest data provided on 13 August 2021

Daily 773 Last 7 days 5,549

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Number of people tested positive reported on 18 August 2021

Daily 33,904

Last 7 days 211,238

Substantial rise and remaining very high.

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Two of the three neighbourhoods with the highest Covid rates in England are in the same Cornish town.

Newquay East has the highest rate at 1123.8 per 100,000 people in the week up to 13 August, with Newquay West in third position with 972.6.

The place between them is Yarborough, close to Grimsby and the popular seaside town of Cleethorpes in Lincolnshire.

The data from the government breaks down data into 6,800 areas in England.

Last weekend about 50,000 people attended the Boardmasters music festival near Newquay, but the latest figures do not cover this period.

Cornwall Council said virus cases remained high in Newquay “largely due to the high number of hospitality venues such as bars, pubs, clubs and restaurants, where people are now allowed to mix”.

No surprise, there, then … :man_shrugging:

I live in an area where, in the seven days to 13 August, 25 people have tested positive by specimen date, which equates to 315.1 per 100,000 people.

In the seaside town nearest to me, in the 7 days to the 13 August, 554 residents tested positive for COVID-19, which represents a rate of 400.3 per 100,000 residents.

The England average is 296 per 100,000 people

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Number of people tested positive reported on 19 August 2021

Daily 36,572

Last 7 days 214,736

Significant rise and remaining very high.

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Number of people tested positive reported on 20 August 2021

Daily 37,314

Last 7 days 219,350

Another rise and remaining very high.

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Number of people tested positive reported on 21 August 2021

Daily 32,058

Last 7 days 221,888

A fall but remaining very high.

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This time last year, the UK was slowly taking its first small steps into what would become the second wave of Covid-19. That led to tighter local restrictions and, ultimately, lockdowns across all the nations, which didn’t start to unravel until late spring 2021.

Case numbers now are more than 30 times higher than at the same point last year and are showing signs of climbing again. So what does this all mean and where might we be heading?

Let’s compare 20 August with this time last year. Case numbers are much higher now, at 37,314 this year, compared with 1,182 a year ago but what really matters now is the number of people becoming so ill that they need hospital treatment.

“It wouldn’t matter a jot if Covid caused a million cases a month if it didn’t make anybody sick. It’s the actual illnesses which have to drive what we do next,” said Prof Paul Hunter, from the University of East Anglia.

At the start of summer, we were warned that the lifting of restrictions, particularly those in England on 19 July, could lead to an increase in cases. But that didn’t happen and that’s why some might be surprised by the figures we’re seeing at the moment.

Prof Hunter said: “Pretty much everybody was predicting that cases would rocket and they fell. They sort of levelled off but are drifting up again and they’re drifting up in summer when viruses spread less readily.”

There is concern about what will happen in the autumn. But might we be nearing the end?

Prof Hunter feels we are, finally, nearing the “endemic equilibrium” - the point where cases are neither increasing nor falling. That’s because a large proportion of the UK population has developed a degree of protection against the virus. Office of National Statistics figures show more than nine in 10 adults in the UK now have antibodies to coronavirus, either through vaccination or having been infected with the virus.

Prof Hunter said: “I’m very confident that we’re not going to see anything like the amount of disease we saw last time round [in the autumn]. But it doesn’t mean that if we went back to living how we did two years ago that we won’t see cases increasing.”

But there are still many variables at play here which could alter things. With something as infectious as the Delta variant, it’s really hard to know for certain what will happen next.

So, not bad news but not good news either … :man_shrugging:

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