COVID-19 - UK: ONS Reports - 31 January 2023 - 1m Positive

Hi

The virus is still mutating and the projections are for two more waves this year.

What is not clear is whether this will matter as the mutations could well be more infectious but less dangerous.

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Cases

People tested positive

Latest data provided on 8 February 2022

Daily

66,183

Last 7 days

509,454

Back on the rise … :thinking:

The “trend” is down, except for deaths:

:neutral_face:

Cases

People tested positive

Latest data provided on 9 February 2022

Daily

68,214

Last 7 days

485,074

Back on the rise … :thinking:

Cases

People tested positive

Latest data provided on 10 February 2022

Daily

66,638

Last 7 days

463,541

Remaining risen … :thinking:

Cases

People tested positive

Latest data provided on 11 February 2022

Daily

58,899

Last 7 days

438,387

A fall … :thinking:

Cases

People tested positive

Latest data provided on 12 February 2022

Daily

46,025

Last 7 days

420,919

A further fall - we’re back to the level of 3rd December 2021 … :thinking:

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I wonder how many of those who are testing positive have had Covid previously … that would be interesting to know wouldn’t it?

Indeed … and here’s an estimate:

1 February

From representing around one in 100 daily cases up to November, reinfections now make up one in 10. Those reinfections are likely to be people infected by the Alpha or Delta variants and then infected again by the more contagious Omicron.

Although vaccines are good at protecting against serious illness, the protection they offer against infection from Omicron tails off quickly and, after 20 weeks, is likely to be very low.

That means infections will continue to rise, and at some point in the future, all new cases could be reinfections.

Because second infections are usually milder than initial ones, any increase in the 155,000 deaths which have occurred during the pandemic so far, is likely to be very small.

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Cases

People tested positive

Latest data provided on 13 February 2022

Daily

41,270

Last 7 days

404,852

A further fall - we’re back to the level of 9th November 2021 … :thinking:

Cases

People tested positive

Latest data provided on 14 February 2022

Daily

41,648

Last 7 days

388,877

Deaths are going down as well.

Deaths

Deaths within 28 days of positive test

Latest data provided on 14 February 2022

  • Daily

35

  • Last 7 days

1,243

There has been a decrease of -464(-27.2%) compared to the previous 7 days.**

Rate per 100,000 people: 1.7

image

Cases

People tested positive

Latest data provided on 15 February 2022

Daily

46,186

Last 7 days

368,880

Remaining at the same level.

Cases

People tested positive

Latest data provided on 16 February 2022

Daily

54,218

Last 7 days

354,884

A noticeable rise … :thinking:

Cases

People tested positive

Latest data provided on 17 February 2022

Daily

51,899

Last 7 days

340,145

Prime Minister Boris Johnson is expected to announce new relaxations to Covid rules in England on Monday. This could include scrapping PCR test centres and free lateral flow tests as part of a “living with Covid” strategy. The government has spent billions of pounds on testing throughout the pandemic. Experts believe in future it could be used only in hospitals and care settings, or to deal with major outbreaks.

In the survey of more than 300 NHS leaders, four-fifths said they disagreed with the expected plan to end free testing. And they also expressed the need for regular testing to continue for health staff and key workers.

The NHS Confederation also said 75% of senior staff in England did not want self-isolation rules to end.

Matthew Taylor, chief executive of the confederation, said: “Hospital admissions and deaths linked to coronavirus continue to fall nationally and this is allowing the NHS to bring back many routine services that it was asked to de-prioritise during the peaks of the pandemic, including some non-urgent elective procedures. With the success of the vaccine and new Covid treatments, this offers real hope as we learn to live with the virus. But the government cannot wave a magic wand and pretend the threat has disappeared entirely.”

He said not enough was yet known about how much long-term protection vaccines provided and there was still the uncertainty of future strains developing.

Other organisations such as the Academy of Medical Royal Colleges and the MS Society have also expressed disquiet about the proposes “relaxations”.

Cases

People tested positive

Latest data provided on 18 February 2022
Daily
47,685
Last 7 days
328,931

Cases

People tested positive

Latest data provided on 19 February 2022
Daily
34,377
Last 7 days
317,283

That new low for 2022 takes us back to 14th November 2021 … :+1:

Cases

People tested positive

Latest data provided on 20 February 2022
Daily
25,696
Last 7 days
301,709

That new low for 2022 takes us back to 2nd October 2021 … :+1:

Is this the beginning of the end?

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Cases

People tested positive

Latest data provided on 21 February 2022
Daily
38,409
Last 7 days
309,260